--- title: Totterham vs Everton Predictions - May 24, 2026 description: Expert score predictions, betting insights, team news, and key stats ahead of Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton. Find the latest match analysis, expected lineups, and winning tips for this Premier League clash. --- [Football Betting Tips & Predictions in Nigeria - betCompare ](https://betcompare.ng/football/tips) # [Totterham vs Everton Predictions - May 24, 2026](https://betcompare.ng/football/tips/totterham-vs-everton-predictions-may-24-2026) Written by [betCompare Editor](https://betcompare.ng/football/tips/author/betcompare-editor) | May 22, 2026 5:49:44 PM Premier League Round 38 — Final Day 2025/26 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London Tottenham vs Everton **Sunday 24 May 2026**  ·  Kick-off: **17:00 WAT** (16:00 BST)   🟢 Live web search active — all research current as of 22 May 2026 ## Match context Tottenham sit 17th with 38 points from 37 games and face a straightforward equation on the final day: a win or draw keeps them in the Premier League regardless of what West Ham do. A defeat combined with a West Ham win against Leeds at the London Stadium sends Tottenham down to the Championship for the first time in 22 years — Roberto De Zerbi cannot afford anything other than a positive result. Everton arrive in 12th place with 49 points, safe from relegation and unable to reach European spots. No rotation risk for either side — both teams will field their strongest available squads. ## Team news Tottenham Out Ben Davies — ankle Out Cristian Romero — knee Out Dejan Kulusevski — knee Out Xavi Simons — knee Out Wilson Odobert Out Mohammed Kudus Doubt Pape Matar Sarr — shoulder Avail Dominic Solanke — hamstring recovery Avail James Maddison — bench minutes only Avail Djed Spence — broken jaw, protective mask **Expected XI (4-2-3-1):** Kinsky; Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Udogie; Bentancur, Palhinha; Kolo Muani, Gallagher, Tel; Richarlison Everton Out Jack Grealish Out Jarrad Branthwaite Out Nathan Patterson Out Carlos Alcaraz **Expected XI (4-2-3-1):** Pickford; O'Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko; Iroegbunam, Garner; Dewsbury-Hall, Röhl, Ndiaye; Beto Romero and Davies both absent is the critical injury story — Tottenham's first-choice centre-back and left-back unavailable for a relegation decider. Danso and Udogie are capable cover but the defensive unit is measurably weaker. This is the primary driver behind the BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 assessments. Branthwaite's absence is a comparable blow for Everton's defence. ## Referee intelligence Referee Michael Oliver VAR: Paul Tierney Classification Medium–High Context-elevated 2025-26 avg yellows 3.11 / game Last 5 matches: 4.4 avg Implication Relegation-decider intensity combined with Palhinha and Bentancur in midfield drives the Bookings Over 4.5 assessment. ## Form & head-to-head Tottenham — Last 5 L 1–2 Chelsea D 1–1 Leeds W 2–1 Aston Villa W 1–0 Wolves D 2–2 Brighton 2W 2D 1L in last 5. Back-to-back away wins at Villa and Wolves before the Chelsea loss. Season: 9W 11D 17L, 38pts, 17th. Everton — Last 5 L 1–3 Sunderland D 2–2 Crystal Palace D 3–3 Man City L 1–2 West Ham L 1–2 Liverpool 0W 2D 3L in last 5. Three defeats including a loss on the final day. Season: 13W 10D 14L, 49pts, 12th. H2H — Tottenham at home (venue-matched, primary dataset) | Date | Home | Score | Away | BTTS | Goals | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 24 Aug 2024 | Tottenham | **4–0** | Everton | No | 4 | | 23 Dec 2023 | Tottenham | **2–1** | Everton | Yes | 3 | | 15 Oct 2022 | Tottenham | **0–0** | Everton | No | 0 | | 07 Mar 2022 | Tottenham | **5–0** | Everton | No | 5 | | 13 Sep 2020 | Tottenham | **0–1** | Everton | No | 1 | Spurs home record: **3W 1D 1L** BTTS rate at Tottenham: **20% (1/5)** Over 2.5 rate: **60% (3/5)** Avg goals: **2.6 / game** Everton's last win here: **Sep 2020** **All H2H (last 5, both venues):** Tottenham won the reverse fixture this season at Goodison (26 Oct 2025). Everton's only win across all five recent meetings was at Goodison in January 2025 (3–2). Tottenham have won 3 of the last 5 meetings overall. ## Market probability table — key markets | Market | Outcome | Verdict | Odds | My assessment | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Match result | Tottenham win | 🟢 Best Bet | 1.94 | Relegation-decider motivation + home H2H dominance underpriced at near-evens | | Match result | Draw | ⛔ Avoid | 3.86 | Match dynamics push toward a decisive result — draw probability overstated | | Match result | Everton win | ⛔ Avoid | 4.07 | Zero stakes, 0W in last 5, one away win here since 2020 | | Draw No Bet | Tottenham | 🔵 Good Bet | 1.42 | Lower-odds alternative to 1X2 win — draw protection for a must-not-lose fixture | | Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 🔵 Good Bet | 1.78 | H2H 60% Over 2.5 rate at this venue; Tottenham must attack; Everton missing Branthwaite | | Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | ⛔ Avoid | 2.10 | Requires Everton to shut up shop — unlikely given Tottenham's attacking urgency | | Both teams to score | Yes | 🔵 Good Bet | 1.70 | Tottenham defensive weakness (no Romero/Davies) + Everton scored in all last 5. H2H BTTS rate 20% noted | | Both teams to score | No | ⛔ Avoid | 2.15 | Tottenham's depleted defence undermines the BTTS No case significantly | | Over/Under 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 🔵 Good Bet | 1.25 | Near-certainty in this context — suits accumulator use only given the short price | | Corners O/U | Over 10.5 | 🔵 Good Bet | 1.81 | Tottenham will press relentlessly; Everton expected to sit deep generating sustained corner pressure | | Corners O/U | Under 10.5 | ⚪ No edge | 1.90 | Fairly priced — no meaningful edge in this direction | | Bookings O/U | Over 4.5 | 🔵 Good Bet | 1.88 | Oliver averaging 4.4 cards last 5 appointments; Palhinha, Bentancur, Bissouma all high-risk midfielders | | Bookings O/U | Under 3.5 | ⛔ Avoid | 2.60 | Under 3.5 cards in a relegation decider with this referee and midfield is very optimistic | | Over/Under 3.5 | Over 3.5 | 🟡 Speculative | 2.90 | 3 of 5 home H2H saw 4+ goals — plausible if Tottenham dominant early, but not guaranteed | ## Betting tips 🟢 Best Bet 🟢 Best Bet Match result — Tottenham win Odds 1.94 The bookmaker has priced this as near-evens — treating it like a coin flip — but the genuine probability is significantly higher. Tottenham are fighting for Premier League survival: a draw or win keeps them up regardless of what West Ham do, so De Zerbi's side will approach this with maximum urgency from kick-off. Everton have zero to play for and arrive on the back of three losses in their last five matches. At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Everton have won once since 2020 — Tottenham beat them 4-0 here last season and 5-0 in March 2022. Tottenham's recent form (2W 2D 1L, including back-to-back away wins at Villa and Wolves) shows they are capable of getting results when it matters. The motivational asymmetry at this price is the clearest value in the market. **Confidence:** High **Signals:** 4 (2 Strong, 2 Moderate) 🔵 Good Bet 🔵 Good Bet Over 2.5 goals Odds 1.78 The H2H at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium supports this directly — 3 of the last 5 home meetings between these sides produced more than 2.5 goals, averaging 2.6 per game at this venue. In the current context, Tottenham must attack to win and are missing both Romero and Davies, leaving them more exposed defensively than those historical meetings. Everton scored in all five of their last matches. The combination of Tottenham's urgency and Everton's ability to find the net at least once makes Over 2.5 well-supported. **Confidence:** Medium **Signals:** 4 (2 Strong, 2 Moderate) 🔵 Good Bet Both teams to score — Yes Odds 1.70 ⚠️ H2H counter-signal: BTTS rate at this venue is only 20% (1/5). However, four of those games featured a fit Romero/Davies defensive unit — conditions that do not apply here. With Romero and Davies absent, Tottenham's back four carries meaningful risk against any side with attacking intent. Everton scored at least once in every one of their last five matches — including 3 against Man City and 2 against Crystal Palace. Beto and Ndiaye are fit and capable of creating chances even with low stakes. Tottenham absolutely must score, so a clean sheet from their end is not a realistic scenario. This tip rests on current-season squad conditions rather than the historical H2H BTTS pattern, which was built with a stronger Spurs defensive unit. **Confidence:** Medium **Signals:** 3 (1 Strong, 2 Moderate) 🔵 Good Bet Corners Over 10.5 Odds 1.81 Tottenham will spend the majority of this match in the attacking half, generating corner volume naturally. Everton, with nothing to play for, are likely to set up compactly and defend deep — inviting crosses and corners from Tottenham rather than pressing high. A relegation-decider attacking output from Tottenham points clearly to double-digit corners across 90 minutes. **Confidence:** Medium **Signals:** 3 (1 Strong, 2 Moderate) 🔵 Good Bet Bookings Over 4.5 Odds 1.88 Michael Oliver has averaged 4.4 total cards across his last five appointments — right at the line. In a relegation decider where Tottenham's players operate at peak emotional and physical intensity, the likelihood of bookings rises above any normal mid-table fixture. Palhinha and Bentancur are physical midfielders who commit fouls regularly. Everton's Iroegbunam and Garner are competitive and combative in the middle. Five or more bookings across 90 minutes in this context is the base-case scenario, not an outlier. **Confidence:** Medium **Signals:** 4 (2 Strong, 2 Moderate) 🔵 Good Bet Draw No Bet — Tottenham Odds 1.42 A lower-odds alternative to the 1X2 Tottenham Win — the stake is refunded if the match ends level. Since Tottenham's survival scenario also includes a draw, this adds a layer of protection particularly relevant in a must-not-lose fixture. Pick either the 1X2 win or this market — they cover overlapping outcomes and stacking both increases exposure without adding value. **Confidence:** Medium Pick either 1X2 Win or DNB — not both. 🟡 Speculative 🟡 Speculative Over 3.5 goals Odds 2.90 Three of the last five H2H meetings at Tottenham produced 4 or more goals — including the 4-0 last season and 5-0 in 2022. If Tottenham find their rhythm quickly and go ahead early, a high-scoring finish is plausible. The value gap exists but is not wide enough for a higher verdict. Small stake only. Requires Tottenham to be dominant and clinical from the first whistle — not guaranteed even in a must-win game. **Confidence:** Low ⚪ No Edge These markets were assessed and found fairly priced — no meaningful edge identified: Corners Under 10.5 @ 1.90 Fairly priced given the range of possible corner totals Booking Points Over 45.5 @ 1.91 Same signal base as Bookings Over 4.5 — choose one only ⛔ Avoid These markets are overpriced at current odds — we recommend skipping: Everton win @ 4.07 0W in last 5; one away win at Spurs since 2020; zero stakes Match draw @ 3.86 Tottenham's survival instinct rules out a passive draw-seeking approach BTTS No @ 2.15 Romero and Davies absent — 2.15 does not price this defensive vulnerability adequately Bookings Under 3.5 @ 2.60 Under 3.5 cards in a relegation decider with Oliver officiating is very optimistic ## Accumulator builder notes Suggested 3-leg accumulator Tottenham Win (1.94) + Corners Over 10.5 (1.81) + Bookings Over 4.5 (1.88) — combined approx 6.60x. These three signals are relatively independent of each other. Correlation warning BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are highly correlated — include one or the other in an accumulator, not both. Over 1.5 Goals (1.25) is a suitable low-risk anchor leg in larger accumulator bets. Avoid stacking with DNB Do not combine the 1X2 Tottenham Win with Draw No Bet Home in the same slip — they cover overlapping outcomes. ## Conditional flags ⚠️ **Lineup dependency — goals and BTTS markets:** All attacking-market assessments assume Tottenham field an attacking front line including Richarlison or Solanke as a starter. ✅ If Solanke starts, Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes strengthen. ❌ If De Zerbi opts for a 5-back defensive setup, reassess both before placing. ⚠️ **Everton motivation:** David Moyes' former club West Ham directly benefits if Tottenham lose. The market prices in no motivational uplift for Everton — monitor the opening 20 minutes for signs of unusual pressing intensity. ## Analysis confidence Overall High Odds parsing High Live research Active Referee Confirmed H2H data 5 meetings Anomalies 0 flagged Referee confirmed, injury lists verified, predicted lineups sourced from pre-match press conferences. H2H and form data submitted as screenshots. Main remaining uncertainty is the confirmed starting XI — lineups typically announced 60–75 minutes before kick-off. Conditional flags apply to goals and BTTS markets pending lineup confirmation. **Responsible betting** — This analysis is produced for informational and entertainment purposes only. All betting carries risk. Tips represent assessed value based on available data and are not guarantees of outcome. Please bet responsibly and within your means. If you feel your betting is becoming a problem, contact the **National Responsible Gambling Programme (NRGP Nigeria)**. 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