Leeds United vs Tottenham Predictions - November 07, 2026

Betting tips, football, Premier League, Football Tips | November 05 2026

Premier League Matchday 10 Elland Road

Leeds United vs Tottenham

Saturday 7 November 2026 · Kick-off: 13:30 WAT (12:30 UK time)

Live team news and officials included in this analysis

Match context

Leeds United sit 12th on 11 points from nine games; Tottenham are ninth on 12 points, so one point and three places separate them before the November international break. Leeds are unbeaten at home in the league but have gone five games without a win, and have been badly short of goals — just two scored across their last five in all competitions. Tottenham have won three of their last five overall, yet their away form is patchier: a sharp 2–0 at Chelsea sits alongside a 3–0 loss at Brentford. Both squads are close to full strength, so rotation is not a meaningful factor here.

Team news

Leeds United

Out Mateo Joseph — knee

Out Stuart Dallas — long-term

Doubtful James Justin & Gabriel Gudmundsson — knocks

Doubtful Joe Rodon & Noah Okafor — fitness

Expected XI: 3-4-2-1 — Trafford; Bijol, Elvedi, Muharemovic; Bogle, Ampadu, Stach, Bard; Aaronson, Wilson; Calvert-Lewin (top scorer, four league goals).

Tottenham

Out Xavi Simons & Wilson Odobert — knee

Out Mykhailo Mudryk & Savio — injury

Doubtful Lucas Bergvall & Tosin Adarabioyo — fitness

Expected XI: 4-2-3-1 — a back line of Porro, Adarabioyo and van de Ven; Bentancur (back from his ban) and Tonali in midfield; Kudus, Maddison (fit again) and Fernandes behind Marmoush or Solanke.

Both sides are close to full strength. At home Leeds still carry a scoring threat, and Tottenham have goals in them, which keeps the goal-presence picks in play — though both attacks have gone quiet in patches, which is why the under-goals lean is just as reasonable.

Referee intelligence

Referee Thomas Bramall VAR: Jarred Gillett

Classification Medium

Cards confidence Low

Implication Bramall took these sides’ most recent Elland Road meeting; a middling profile, no bookings selection offered.

Form & head-to-head

Leeds United — last matches at home

D 1–1 Man Utd D 0–0 Crystal Palace W 4–1 Newcastle D 1–1 Brentford

Unbeaten at home in the league (three draws, one win), but short of goals outside the Newcastle rout — one goal or fewer in three of these four. Winless in five across all games.

Tottenham — last matches away

W 2–0 Chelsea D 1–1 Man Utd D 0–0 Nottingham L 0–3 Brentford

Mixed on the road: a clinical 2–0 at Chelsea and a clean sheet at Forest, but beaten 3–0 at Brentford. Two away clean sheets, yet not watertight.

Head-to-head — Leeds at Elland Road (primary dataset)

Date	Home	Score	Away	BTTS	Goals
04 Oct 2025	Leeds	1–2	Tottenham	Yes	3
28 May 2023	Leeds	1–4	Tottenham	Yes	5
26 Feb 2022	Leeds	0–4	Tottenham	No	4
08 May 2021	Leeds	3–1	Tottenham	Yes	4
27 Jan 2013	Leeds	2–1	Tottenham	Yes	3

Elland Road avg goals: 3.8/game Over 2.5 rate: 100% (5/5) BTTS rate: 80% (4/5)

All venues: the most recent meeting (May 2026) finished 1–1, and Tottenham have won the last three Premier League visits to Elland Road, though Leeds won two of the five shown. These meetings have been high-scoring, but they span 2013–2025 and very different squads, so they are treated as indicative only — current form points the other way, which is one reason no over/under side carries an edge.

Market probability table — key markets

Market	Outcome	Verdict	Odds	My Assessment
Total goals O/U 1.5	Over 1.5	Solid Pick	1.29	75%
Total goals O/U 3.5	Under 3.5	Solid Pick	1.35	73%
Leeds to score	Yes	Solid Pick	1.31	74%
Tottenham to score	Yes	Solid Pick	1.32	73%
First half BTTS	No	Solid Pick	1.21	79%
Match result	Leeds win	No edge	2.67	36%
Match result	Draw	No edge	3.42	28%
Match result	Tottenham win	No edge	2.76	35%
Total goals O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	No edge	1.92	49%
Both teams to score	Yes	No edge	1.74	55%
Double chance	Draw or Tottenham	No edge	1.48	64%
Draw no bet	Tottenham	No edge	1.94	49%
Total goals O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	Avoid	6.20	13%

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Betting tips

🎯 Solid Picks

🎯

Solid Pick Total goals — Over 1.5

Odds 1.29

Our assessment puts a game with at least two goals at 75%. The match total lands around 2.6 goals, and even in a cagey matchup both teams have found the net often enough to clear this line. The price matches our number, so there is no mathematical edge — but it is a reliable leg for your accumulator.

🎯

Solid Pick Total goals — Under 3.5

Odds 1.35

We assess under four goals at 73%. Leeds have scored just twice in their last five and lean on set pieces, while Tottenham keep it tight on the road, so a low-event game is the most likely shape. Fairly priced, so no edge — but a dependable leg, and it sits naturally with the 2–3 goal profile.

🎯

Solid Pick Tottenham to score

Odds 1.32

We put Tottenham to find the net at 73%. They have scored in every Elland Road visit in our records and Leeds have kept only three clean sheets in nine. Away form is mixed, so it is not a certainty, but the price matches our number — a steady leg rather than an edge.

⚪ No Edge

These markets were assessed and found fairly priced — no meaningful edge identified:

Match result — all outcomes Near pick’em; our split (36% / 28% / 35%) tracks the price

Over/Under 2.5 @ 1.92 / 1.89 Roughly 50/50 — the old high-scoring H2H and the low-scoring current form cancel out

Both teams to score — Yes @ 1.74 We have it at 55%, in line with the price

Double chance & Draw no bet Track the result market — no edge in any direction

Asian handicap 0 / ±0.5 Priced to our line in a two-way game

⛔ Avoid

These markets are overpriced at current odds — we recommend skipping:

Over 4.5 goals @ 6.20 A five-goal game is unlikely here — the match total sits near 2.6 and both attacks have gone quiet in recent weeks. 6.20 overstates it; we have it at 13%.

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Accumulator builder notes

Equivalent markets Over 1.5 goals, Leeds to score and Tottenham to score all express the same “there will be goals” view — they are correlated, so treat them as one leg and do not stack them on a single slip. Also note that “both teams to score” is best taken at 1.74, since the shorter “both teams” line in another market settles exactly the same way.

Steadiest leg Over 1.5 goals (1.29) and Under 3.5 goals (1.35) are the most reliable legs for this fixture — a 2–3 goal match is comfortably the most likely shape. Pick one for your slip.

Conditional flags

⚠️ This is close to a coin-toss on the result: the draw is genuinely live, with Leeds having drawn three of their last five. ✅ The value here is in the goal-shape legs, not on a winner. ❌ Backing a side to win carries no edge in either direction.

ℹ️ James Justin and Gabriel Gudmundsson are carrying knocks for Leeds. If either sits out it trims the home side’s aerial threat from set pieces, but it does not move the goals-based picks.

Analysis confidence

Overall Medium

Odds parsing High

Live research Active

Referee Announced

H2H data 5 meetings

Anomalies 2 flagged

The market is tightly priced and our model agrees with it on the result, total goals and both teams to score, so those return no edge. The reliable material here is a cluster of high-probability goal-presence legs rather than a standout bet. Confidence is held at Medium in line with our early-season policy; the head-to-head record is high-scoring but spans different squads, so it is treated as indicative only and set against the lower-scoring current form.

Responsible betting — This analysis is produced for informational and entertainment purposes only. All betting carries risk. Tips represent assessed value based on available data and are not guarantees of outcome. Please bet responsibly and within your means. If you feel your betting is becoming a problem, contact the National Lottery Regulatory Commission (NLRC).

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Football Insights

Leeds United vs Tottenham Predictions - November 07, 2026

Match context

Team news

Referee intelligence

Form & head-to-head

Market probability table — key markets

Betting tips

Accumulator builder notes

Conditional flags

Analysis confidence