Liverpool vs Brighton Predictions - October 25, 2026

Betting tips, football, Premier League, Football Tips | October 23 2026

Premier League Matchday 8 Anfield

Liverpool vs Brighton

Sunday 25 October 2026 · Kick-off: 15:00 WAT (14:00 GMT)

Live data active — team news, match official and head-to-head all in.

Match context

This is third against fifth, with the table order inverted against the price. Brighton travel to Anfield as the division's form side: 23 goals in seven games — the most in the league — and sit four points clear of the hosts. Liverpool are fifth on 12 points, a side whose home form has blown hot and cold: a thumping 4-3 win over Villarreal and a 3-1 win over Tottenham, but also blanked at home by Man City (0-3) and held by Fulham (0-0). The home side are still favourites on quality and venue, and the recent head-to-head at Anfield is firmly in their favour — but this current Brighton team is stronger than the one in those meetings, which is what keeps the game genuinely close. No rotation concerns are in play for either side.

Team news

Liverpool

Out Szoboszlai — injury

Out Ekitike — injury

Out Frimpong — injury

Out Leoni, Bradley — injury

Doubtful Barcola — fitness

Expected XI: 4-2-3-1 — Alisson; Araujo, Jacquet, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Ngumoha, Wirtz, Gakpo; Isak

Brighton

Out Mitoma — injury

Out Minteh — injury

Out Wieffer — injury

Out Struijk — suspension

Expected XI: 4-2-3-1 — Verbruggen in goal, Kostoulas leading the line; squad depth has covered the absentees through a 5-0 win last time out.

Liverpool's absences sit in midfield depth; Isak — five goals in his last five league games — and Wirtz returning keep the home attack live. Brighton are without first-choice wide men Mitoma and Minteh, which is one reason the Brighton-to-score read is a lean rather than a strong call.

Referee intelligence

Referee Sam Barrott PGMOL appointment

Classification Medium

Cards confidence Low–Medium

Implication Around 4.7 cards a game — mid-range, no strong lean on the cards line.

Form & head-to-head

Liverpool — Last 5 Home

W 4–3 L 0–3 W 3–1 D 0–0 W 2–1

Three home wins in five, but blanked twice (Man City, Fulham) and conceded in four of the five.

Brighton — Last 5 Away

D 0–0 W 2–0 W 3–2 W 5–0 L 3–4

Scored in four of five on the road (2, 3, 5 in the league) but shipped four at Chelsea and two at Man Utd.

H2H — Liverpool at home (primary dataset)

Date	Home	Score	Away	BTTS	Goals
14.02.26	Liverpool	3–0	Brighton	No	3
13.12.25	Liverpool	2–0	Brighton	No	2
02.11.24	Liverpool	2–1	Brighton	Yes	3
31.03.24	Liverpool	2–1	Brighton	Yes	3
01.10.22	Liverpool	3–3	Brighton	Yes	6

Anfield record: Liverpool W4 D1 L0 BTTS rate: 60% Avg goals: 3.4/game Over 2.5 rate: 80% Brighton scored: 3 of 5 (kept out in the last two)

Market probability table — key markets

Market	Outcome	Verdict	Odds	My Assessment
Brighton to score	Yes	Speculative	1.27	78%
Liverpool to score	Yes	Solid Pick	1.17	82%
Both teams to score	Yes	Solid Pick	1.51	65%
Total goals	Over 1.5	Solid Pick	1.16	83%
Match result	Liverpool win	No edge	2.18	46%
Match result	Draw	No edge	3.81	25%
Match result	Brighton win	No edge	3.23	29%
Total goals	Over 2.5	No edge	1.55	63%
Total goals	Under 3.5	No edge	1.62	60%
Double chance	Draw or Brighton	No edge	1.67	54%
Draw no bet	Liverpool	No edge	1.60	60%
Asian handicap	Brighton +1	No edge	1.38	66%
Match cards	5+ bookings	No edge	1.91	48%
Home clean sheet	Yes	Avoid	3.60	22%

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Betting tips

🟡 Speculative

🟡

Speculative Brighton to score — Yes

Odds 1.27

Brighton have scored in four of their last five on the road — two at Sunderland, three at Man Utd, five at Coventry — and Liverpool have conceded in four of their last five at home. On current form, the away side should find the net.

What holds it back: Brighton were kept out in each of their last two visits to Anfield (3-0, 2-0), and they travel without wide men Mitoma and Minteh. The edge is small, hence Speculative rather than a stronger call.

🎯 Solid Pick

🎯

Solid Pick Liverpool to score — Yes

Odds 1.17

Liverpool have scored in all five of their recent home meetings with Brighton and have Isak — five goals in his last five — plus Wirtz behind him against a Brighton side that ships goals on the road. Our read is around 82%; fairly priced, so a reliable leg rather than a value play.

🎯

Solid Pick Both teams to score — Yes

Odds 1.51

Three of the last five Anfield meetings have seen both teams score, and both defences have leaked this season — Liverpool at home, Brighton on the road. Our read sits around 65%, a shade ahead of the price. No standout edge, but a dependable leg for a slip.

🎯

Solid Pick Over 1.5 goals

Odds 1.16

Every one of the last five Anfield meetings produced at least two goals, at an average of 3.4 a game, and both sides are scoring freely. We assess this around 83% — the price is fair, so no real edge, but it is one of the steadier legs on the card.

⚪ No Edge

These markets were assessed and found fairly priced — no meaningful edge identified:

Match result — Liverpool win @ 2.18 A strong home record against Brighton, but this Brighton side is better than that history and Liverpool's home form is patchy — priced about right.

Match result — Draw @ 3.81 A realistic outcome between two close sides, with no gap to the price.

Match result — Brighton win @ 3.23 Genuinely strong away side, but a poor recent record at Anfield keeps this fair.

Over 2.5 goals @ 1.55 The history leans high, but two of the last five here stayed under — the price is fair.

Under 3.5 goals @ 1.62 Around 60% on our read — sensible, and matched by the price.

Double chance — Draw or Brighton @ 1.67 A fair way to back the away side, with no margin left once the price is set.

Draw no bet — Liverpool @ 1.60 Reflects a slim home edge and little more.

Asian handicap — Brighton +1 @ 1.38 Liverpool won the last two here by two clear goals, so staying within one is less certain than the price implies — fair, not value.

Match cards — 5+ bookings @ 1.91 Sam Barrott sits mid-range at about 4.7 cards a game — this line is a coin-flip and fairly priced.

⛔ Avoid

This market is overpriced at current odds — we recommend skipping:

Home clean sheet — Yes @ 3.60 Brighton have scored in four of their last five away games and Liverpool have conceded in four of their last five at home — a shutout is less likely than this price suggests.

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Accumulator builder notes

Equivalent markets The steady legs here all rise and fall with the same goals — Liverpool to score, Both teams to score and Over 1.5 overlap heavily, and Brighton to score is the same outcome as Liverpool failing to keep a clean sheet. They are not independent, so put one on your slip, not several.

Correlated result picks Backing Liverpool through the match-result, double-chance or draw-no-bet lines is one opinion expressed several ways — count it as a single leg, never stacked together.

Banker leg The steadiest single leg is Over 1.5 goals. Brighton to score is the one lean with a small edge — a modest one for the slip, not a stack.

Conditional flags

ℹ️ Line-ups land about an hour before kick-off. Barcola is a fitness doubt for Liverpool; Isak and Wirtz are expected to start.

ℹ️ Brighton were kept out in each of their last two trips to Anfield, so the Brighton-to-score read leans on their current away scoring rather than the head-to-head.

Analysis confidence

Overall Medium

Odds parsing High

Live research Active

Referee Sam Barrott

H2H data 5 meetings

Anomalies 2 flagged

Odds and market coverage are complete, the match official is in, and five recent head-to-head meetings — all at Anfield — are on file. The main caution is that this Brighton team is stronger than the one in those meetings, so the head-to-head is weighted as indicative rather than decisive. Two items are flagged: Liverpool have been blanked twice in their last five at home, and Brighton's goal tally is running ahead of their chance quality.

Responsible betting — This analysis is produced for informational and entertainment purposes only. All betting carries risk. Tips represent assessed value based on available data and are not guarantees of outcome. Please bet responsibly and within your means. If you feel your betting is becoming a problem, contact the National Responsible Gambling Programme (NRGP) — nrgpnigeria.org · 18+.

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Football Insights

Liverpool vs Brighton Predictions - October 25, 2026

Match context

Team news

Referee intelligence

Form & head-to-head

Market probability table — key markets

Betting tips

Accumulator builder notes

Conditional flags

Analysis confidence