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England Women vs Spain Women Prediction


The last seven meetings between the two sides have either finished level or been decided by one-goal margins, and with that in mind, Sunday's clash will be another close-fought contest. England have shown vulnerability in their run to the final, and a top-quality Spain side will exploit any weaknesses. La Roja should do enough to lift their first-ever Women's European Championship

Match info: Women Euros Final

Venue: St. Jakob-Park, Basel

Date: Sunday, 27th July 2025

Time: 5 pm Nigerian time

England Women and Spain Women will be targeting European glory when they go toe-to-toe in Sunday's Women's Euro 2025 final in Basel.

The Lionesses are bidding to win back-to-back Women's Euros, while La Roja are looking to become the sixth different nation to win the tournament.

Head-to-head:

  • There have been 15 meetings between the two nations since 2007. England have won eight of those games while Spain have won four times, with their other three contests ending in draws.
  • The two sides last faced off in the UEFA Women's Nations League back in June, with La Roja winning the group-stage clash 2-1 via a second-half double from Claudia Pina.
  • England have previously been to three European Championship finals, winning the title once (2022). Spain, meanwhile, are set to make their debut appearance in the final this year.
  • Spain and England are the top two highest-scoring sides in the continental showpiece this summer, with the former scoring 17 goals and the latter scoring 15.

Form:

  • England in all competitions: L-W-W-W-W
  • Spain in all competitions: W-W-W-W-W

Team News:

  • Lauren James faces a race to be fit after picking up a knock in the semifinal against Italy. Beth Mead could take the attacker’s place on the wing should James fail to recover. Esme Morgan was given her first start in tournament football alongside captain Leah Williamson in defence and is set to retain her place.
  • Laia Aleixandri returns from a one-match ban for yellow card accumulation in the tournament. The defender is set to immediately return to the backline. Athenea del Castillo is pushing Mariona Caldentey and Claudia Pina for a place on the flanks after a goal and an assist last up.

Match Stats:

  • This game will see a repeat of the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup final, won 1-0 by Spain. It’s only the second time there’s been the same fixture in back-to-back Women’s World Cup/EURO finals, along with Germany versus Sweden (2001 EURO, 2003 World Cup), won both times by the Germans.
  • England and Spain have faced three times previously at the UEFA Women’s EURO, with those games coming in the three previous tournaments before 2025 – Spain won 3-2 in the group stage in 2013, while the Lionesses were victorious 2-0 in 2017 in the group stage and won 2-1 in the 2022 quarter-final.
  • England won UEFA Women’s EURO 2022 thanks to a 2-1 win over Germany at Wembley. They are looking to become the second nation to lift the trophy at consecutive tournaments, along with Germany (1989 and 1991, then 1995 – 2013).
  • Spain could become the first European nation to lift the FIFA Women’s World Cup and UEFA Women’s EURO at consecutive tournaments since Germany between 2001 and 2009 (five in a row). They’ve won their last nine games at major tournaments, with the Netherlands the last European nation to win 10+ in a row, winning 12 across the 2017 EURO and 2019 World Cup.
  • Both England’s quarter-final versus Sweden and semi-final versus Italy at this year’s UEFA Women’s EURO went to extra-time, with no nation ever playing three extra-time games in a single tournament. Only three finals have gone to extra-time – 1991 (Germany 3-1 Norway), 2001 (Germany 1-0 Sweden) and 2022 (England 2-1 Germany).
  • Spain have had an average of 24 shots per game at the 2025 UEFA Women’s EURO (120 in 5 games), the most by a nation at a major tournament (Women’s World Cup/EURO) since Germany at the 2015 FIFA Women’s World Cup (26 per game), while their average of 621 completed passes per game is the most by a nation at a tournament on record since 2011.
  • England have seen a substitute score in each of their last three UEFA Women’s EURO matches, with Beth Mead and Aggie Beever-Jones scoring against Wales, Michelle Agyemang against Sweden and then Agyemang and Chloe Kelly against Italy. With five sub-goals overall, the only teams to score more at a single EURO tournament are Germany in 2009 (8) and England themselves in 2022 (7).
  • Spain have received 2,334 high pressures from opponents at the 2025 UEFA Women’s EURO, 476 more than any other team. Despite this, their passing accuracy under high pressure is six per cent better than any other team in the tournament (83 per cent).
  • Spain have won each of their last ten matches in all competitions, scoring 38 goals. They last enjoyed a longer winning run between March 2020 and November 2021, when they won 16 games consecutively.
  • England manager Sarina Wiegman is looking to win a third consecutive UEFA Women’s EURO tournament, lifting the trophy in 2017 with the Netherlands and in 2022 with the Lionesses. Two managers have won it three times – Gero Bisanz (1989, 1991, 1995) and Tina Theune (1997, 2001, 2005). Indeed, if she wins, it'll mean the last eight EURO tournaments have been won by just three managers, with Silvia Neid winning it in 2009 and 2013.
  • Lucy Bronze has made 35 major tournament appearances (Women’s World Cup/EURO) for England, the joint most of any player, along with Jill Scott. She’s started all 35 of those games, with only two players for any European nation playing as many while starting them all – Germany’s Bettina Wiegmann (39) and Sweden’s Hedvig Lindahl (37).
  • England’s Chloe Kelly came off the bench to score the winner in the semi-finals against Italy, while she also did so in the 2022 UEFA Women’s EURO final versus Germany. Since Opta has analysed major women’s tournaments (2011), Kelly at this year’s EURO has the joint-most chances created (eight) and most successful crosses (ten) of any substitute in a single tournament.
  • Athenea del Castillo assisted Spain’s winner by Aitana Bonmatí in the UEFA Women’s EURO 2025 semi-final against Germany. She’s been involved in six goals in her last seven appearances in all competitions (five goals, one assist), scoring or assisting every 40 minutes across those matches.
  • Both Chloe Kelly and Ella Toone scored for England in their victorious UEFA Women’s EURO 2022 final against Germany – only four players have scored in two or more finals: Germany’s Heidi Mohr (1989, 1991), Norway’s Birthe Hegstad (1991, 1993), Germany’s Birgit Prinz (1995, 1997, 2005, 2009) and Germany’s Inka Grings (2005, 2009).
  • Spain’s Patri Guijarro completed 109 passes in the semi-final against Germany, the most by a midfielder in a game at this year’s tournament. Overall, she’s completed 401 passes at the 2025 UEFA Women’s EURO, with only two players completing more on record since 2013 – England’s Leah Williamson in 2022 (461) and Denmark’s Katrine Pedersen in 2013 (403).
  • 19-year-old Michelle Agyemang has netted in each of her last two outings at UEFA Women’s EURO 2025 and would be the youngest player to score in three appearances in a row at major tournaments (19 years, 174 days – Women’s World Cup/EURO), breaking Vivianne Miedema’s record (21 years, 22 days). The only teenager to score in three different games in a single tournament is Brazil’s Marta at the 2003 FIFA Women’s World Cup.
  • Spain’s Alèxia Putellas has been involved in the most goals (three goals, four assists) and created the most chances (18) of any player at the UEFA Women’s EURO 2025. However, Putellas is yet to score or assist in any of her nine knockout appearances at major tournaments (Women’s World Cup/EURO).
  • At the UEFA Women’s EURO 2025, Spain’s Alèxia Putellas has received the most high pressure from opponents (307) and has the best pass accuracy under high pressure (86.6 per cent) of any player to attempt 100+ passes while under high pressure. She’s also created the most chances under high pressure (13) of any player.
  England Draw Spain GG/BTS Over 2.5 Under 2.5
1XBet 4.77 3.77 1.79 -- 1.89 1.99
22et 4.66 3.68 1.76 -- 1.85 1.95
SureBet 4.3 3.55 1.71 1.76 1.79 1.88
BetWinner 4.66 3.68 1.76 -- 1.85 1.95
WazoBet 4.4 3.75 1.8 1.76 1.84 1.93
Note: These are the odds at the time of publication.

 

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